The Future Past

The Past is not the warranty of the Future

Failure is a better predictor than success.

Failure is always more likely than success.

To survive, be less certain early. To thrive, take risks while you are strong.

A puzzle from Dalat: take less ammo up the dangerous hills, but do send your best marksman. New leaders make the mistake of taking too much ammunition. Your advantage is these hills aren’t deadly.

Try more than you think your team can do. Spend much less than you think you should.