Unknown Cost

A cost that can’t be estimated is what holds us, pins us down. An unknown can not be combated. There is no more likelihood an AQI base in Iraq with our withdrawal than there was an AQI holdout in Anbar. Once you know them, you don’t love them….

When we leave Iraq, there will not be a vacuum, there will be Iraqis. Their force will be superior to Al’s. Al will not be able to take and hold a stand. think parity of power, but consider that the multiplier in this EQ belongs to the Iraqis. They know the land better than Al. AQI will suffer the same disadvantages our own forces have.

So this unknown cost must mean that we have no idea what the neighbors will do. why don’t we?

Leverage

when a force of 20 at a cost of thousands engages hundreds of thousands at a cost of billions. this is a mouse with bite. a spring on the trigger. this is leverage.

a force of hundreds able to engage, detain, strike at will against a force of hundreds of thousands. this is leverage. but there is a way to counteract the lever. stay tuned.

Resurgence Of Al`

The resurgence of Al, first requires his recovery. His best strategy is his first, social. That is one we can’t battle. Al acquired strength as a social force, it was his mistake to turn his revolution into a military one. Our mistake is to follow an enemy strategy, without overpowering the enemy.